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International Journal of
Law, Policy and Social Review
ARCHIVES
VOL. 8, ISSUE 1 (2026)
Public trust under pressure: Electoral oversight and the Bawaslu legitimacy crisis amid the alleged diploma forgery controversy
Authors
Abdillah Mustari, Uli Nuha, Ani Auli Ilmi
Abstract
This study examines the shifting dynamics of public trust in the national election supervisory body in Indonesia in the context of a major political controversy involving alleged falsification of an academic credential by the incumbent president. The research aims to understand how political crises reshape institutional legitimacy and to identify the principal drivers influencing public perceptions of electoral oversight. A mixed-methods design integrates a longitudinal public opinion survey, computational social media analysis, and in-depth interviews with institutional stakeholders and electoral experts. The findings indicate a significant decline in public trust following the controversy, with the sharpest reduction occurring in the dimension of institutional integrity. Media exposure and political identity strongly shaped patterns of opinion formation, reinforcing polarized narratives and amplifying public skepticism. The analysis demonstrates that perceived independence of the supervisory body remains the most decisive factor in sustaining political trust, confirming the centrality of integrity-based evaluation in democratic accountability mechanisms. The study concludes that institutional resilience during political crises depends heavily on transparent communication, rapid response strategies, and the capacity to counter misinformation. These findings have broad implications for the study of electoral governance, public trust formation, and crisis communication within emerging democracies. 
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Pages:178-184
How to cite this article:
Abdillah Mustari, Uli Nuha, Ani Auli Ilmi "Public trust under pressure: Electoral oversight and the Bawaslu legitimacy crisis amid the alleged diploma forgery controversy ". International Journal of Law, Policy and Social Review, Vol 8, Issue 1, 2026, Pages 178-184
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